Do our leaders want peace… or what?

By Na'omi Allen
Mrs Allen is a political science research assistant and this is her personal WIP blog.
She studies political phenomena through the lens of Realpolitik and Conservative Liberalism.

 

This post was updated with a correction on 07 May 2022. The Russian village of Rostov-on-Don was struck, not by one, but by two missiles on February 19th. Fact-check notes are included in footnotes.


Our leaders need to start addressing the Russo-Ukrainian Conflict with honesty and in accordance with international law, instead of with their emotions and personal prejudices.

Like it or not, Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine was neither illegal, nor unprovoked. And while our leaders don’t want us talking about this, anyone who hopes for peace should do it anyway. Peaceful resolution cannot be reached without recognizing and addressing points of contention that need to be resolved. To ignore the causes of this conflict is to burn bridges to peace, and the longer this war goes on, the closer we get to triggering World War III. That there are powerful forces at work who actually want to ignite another global war makes talking about these issues all the more important.

Main Points of Contention

There are two main reasons why the Russo-Ukrainian conflict is happening.

First: Despite agreeing to its terms in 2015, Kiev has deliberately failed to implement Minsk Accords to end the Ukrainian Civil War. This is largely due to the fact that their government officials have no control over Right Sector Battalions who refuse to honor the agreement, and who threaten to murder political leaders and overthrow the government (again) whenever steps are taken to follow its Peace Protocols.

President Zelenskyy, unsuccessfully attempting to direct Right Sector militias to withdraw from the Donbas (2019).

The second reason: In March 2021, Zelenskyy signed E.O. №117, officially launching a strategy known as the Crimea Platform, to pursue NATO membership for the sake of retaking the Donbas (in violation of Minsk Accords) and to “de-occupy” Crimea and Sevastopol… by military means if necessary. Technically, by enacting E.O. №117, Ukraine effectively issued a declaration of war against Russia.

Primary Provocations

There were two significant incidents that led to military confrontation.

The first: One week after Zelenskyy enacted E.O. №117, Erdogan notified Russia that the US was sending warships to the Black Sea to support Ukraine’s objectives.

In response, the Russian military started amassing troops in Crimea and a standoff began. The Ukrainian government claimed that Russia was staging to attack Ukraine, and our lawmakers called for preemptive military measures and deterrent sanctions.

Our Defense Department then flooded Ukraine with weapons (100 tons of lethal aid), and the Ukrainian government funneled those weapons to their Right Sector militias, with a particular focus on Mariupol (a Right Sector stronghold).

This led to the second incident: Ukraine fed “intel” to our state department, claiming that Russia was orchestrating a false flag event to give them a “pretext” for war, and then… Right Sector battalions proceeded to shell the hell out of the Donbas, and two of these missiles struck Russian soil in Rostov-on-Don (February 19th).1

The attack on Rostov-on-Don was totally ignored by Western media, and the escalation was reported as if “rebels” were the ones who had taken an aggressive posture on the front lines of the ongoing civil war, but expert analysis of OSCE reports reveal the exact opposite.

War correspondent Anne-Laure Bonnel, fed up with French media for
not allowing her to report truthfully about events in the Donbas.

UN Charter, Article 51

On February 21st, two days after the attack on Rostov-on-Don, Russia recognized the Donbas Republics as independent states and answered their call for assistance (evacuations, and military defense). Another three days later, Putin invoked Article 51 of the UN Charter and the Russian military began an armed Special Ops mission in Ukraine.

In Putin’s view, Russia had to take action now, to avoid going to war with NATO later. And I don’t think he was wrong, because the US and the rest of the world acted as if he was hallucinating when he tried to resolve points of contention, NATO began amassing troops throughout Eastern Europe, US lawmakers started calling for American boots on the ground and preemptive military strikes, and our President had already signed an agreement to support Ukraine’s Crimea Platform.

“Nothing in the present Charter shall impair the inherent right of individual or collective self-defence if an armed attack occurs against a Member of the United Nations, until the Security Council has taken measures necessary to maintain international peace and security. Measures taken by Members in the exercise of this right of self-defence shall be immediately reported to the Security Council and shall not in any way affect the authority and responsibility of the Security Council under the present Charter to take at any time such action as it deems necessary in order to maintain or restore international peace and security.”

Under international law, because Ukrainian forces attacked Russian soil, the Russian Federation has a legal right to launch a counter offensive against Ukraine, in defense of their own national security. Russia’s armed Special Ops are lawful and will continue to be lawful, unless and until points of contention are resolved. The UN has a responsibility to facilitate this peaceful resolution, and it is unlawful for other UN member states to impair Russia’s inherent right to self-defense.

In accordance with international law, the UN should be working to resolve and settle sovereignty issues concerning the Donbas Republics, and they should be working to resolve and settle sovereignty issues concerning Crimea. They should also be censuring UN member states who are behaving in contradiction to Article 51 of the UN Charter. Why aren’t they?


Recommended Reading:

The Silence of American Hawks About Kiev’s Atrocities is Deafening. (The Nation)

NATO Whistle-Blower: Russian Occupation of the Donbass Prior to 2022 is a Lie. (Sheer Post)

Ukraine’s Right Sector Battalions Vow to Sabotage All Prospects of Peace with Russia. (People’s World)

Putin Says Peace with Ukraine is Impossible, without First Resolving Sovereignty Issues Concerning Sevastopol, Crimea, and the Donbas Republics.
(Interfax)


Footnote:

1. Western OSINT sleuths confirm that Rostov-on-Don was struck by two Grad missiles on February 19th, ‘though they erroneously claim that, since the target was more than 21 km from Ukrainian forces, Rostov-on-Don was out of their range and the missiles couldn’t have been fired by them. Double-Fact-Check: Today’s modified Grad systems have a range of up to 45 km.